West Virginia and Kentucky fight for right to move to Final Four
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/27/2010 -
Syracuse, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A berth in the "Final Four" is on the line
tonight in Syracuse, New York, as the top-seeded Kentucky Wildcats and the
second-seeded West Virginia Mountaineers do battle in the 2010 NCAA Tournament
East Regional Final.
The winner of this game will take on either Duke or Baylor next Saturday in
Indianapolis.
West Virginia has won its last nine games to improve to 30-6 overall, and its
most recent triumph was Thursday's 69-56 decision over Washington. The
Mountaineers, who won the Big East Conference Tournament, crushed 15th-seeded
Morgan State in the first round of this event before knocking off 10th-seeded
Missouri by nine points in the second round. WVU is now 23-22 all-time in the
NCAA Tournament. The Mountaineers finished sixth in the final regular-season
AP Poll, their best finish since placing fifth in 1960.
As for Kentucky, it took down "Cinderella" Cornell by a final of 62-45 on
Thursday, thanks to one of the best defensive efforts that we have seen by any
team in "Sweet 16" action over the last quarter century. The Wildcats are led
by first-year head coach John Calipari and are one of only two No. 1 seeds
remaining in this tournament (Duke). Three UK starters are freshmen, and while
youth can be a detriment, Calipari's squad has been dominant, winning its
first and second round games by 29 and 30 points, respectively, prior to the
triumph over Cornell. The Wildcats are making their record 50th NCAA
Tournament appearance and own a 101-44 record in the event all-time. They are
35-2 overall this season and won both the SEC regular season and tournament
titles.
The Wildcats own a 13-4 series advantage over the Mountaineers, which includes
seven straight wins over WVU.
Prior to the "Sweet 16" matchup with Washington, West Virginia starting point
guard Darryl "Truck" Bryant broke his foot in practice, knocking him out of
the tournament. Many wondered how the loss would affect the Mountaineers, and
early on the team did struggle at times offensively against the Huskies.
Fortunately, WVU played tremendous defense, limiting Washington to 39.3
percent shooting from the floor while forcing 21 turnovers. Rebounding was a
huge key to the Mountaineers as well, as they finished with a 49-29 edge on
the boards. Kevin Jones led three double-digit scorers with 18 points, and he
ripped down eight rebounds as well. Da'Sean Butler added 14 points, and Devin
Ebanks finished with a dozen. Butler is the team's leading scorer through 36
games with 17.4 ppg, while Jones (13.7 ppg, 7.2 rpg) and Ebanks (12.0 ppg, 8.3
rpg) are solid contributors as well. WVU is generating 72.8 ppg while limiting
foes to 63.1 ppg.
Kentucky has advanced to the Regional Finals for the 31st time in program
history, and there are a few obvious reasons for the 17-point win over
Cornell. Above all, it was a sensational defensive effort that saw the
Wildcats limit the Big Red to 33.3 percent shooting from the floor, including
a 5-of-21 effort from three-point range, 20 percent below the club's average
efficiency from behind the arc. Rebounding was also key to the victory, as
Kentucky earned a 41-28 edge on the boards. DeMarcus Cousins scored 16 points,
while fellow freshman Eric Bledsoe added 12 points. Patrick Patterson ripped
down 12 rebounds, and John Wall dished out eight assists. Wall has racked up
236 assists this season, and he has 62 steals as well to go along with 16.6
ppg. Cousins provides 15.1 ppg and 9.9 rpg, while Patterson posts 14.5 ppg.
Bledsoe is netting 11.4 ppg for Kentucky, which is scoring 79.6 ppg while
permitting just 64.7 ppg on 37.8 percent shooting by opponents.
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Arena in Salt Lake C
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The Senato
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
Bet 2010 Super Bowl Odds
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
RSS Sports Betting Odds Feeds
Visit MySportsbook.com for free sportsbook odds RSS feeds go to MySportsbook.com for all your betting football needs.
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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