North Texas takes on Troy in Sun Belt title tilt
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/09/2010 -
Hot Springs, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The top-seeded Troy Trojans and the second-
seeded North Texas Mean Green have advanced to the championship game of the
2010 Sun Belt Conference Tournament, and they will compete for an automatic
bid to the "Big Dance" this evening.
North Texas squeaked by 10th-seeded UL-Monroe in the quarterfinal round by
three points, and the Mean Green defeated Denver in the semifinals on Monday
by a 63-56 final. That victory was the 10th in a row for the squad, which has
improved to 23-8 overall. North Texas won its lone Sun Belt Conference
championship in 2007.
As for Troy, it is riding a seven-game win streak that has enabled it to move
to 20-11 overall, including 4-0 in neutral-site affairs. After a 12-point win
over South Alabama in the quarterfinals, the Trojans managed to defeat Western
Kentucky last night, 54-48. They are relative newcomers to the conference and
failed to win the title in their previous four Sun Belt Tournament
appearances.
The Mean Green beat the Trojans in a 75-72 final on the road in the only
regular-season meeting between the two teams, and UNT owns a 5-2 advantage
in the all-time series.
There are four double-digit scorers on the North Texas roster, and the team is
averaging 74.5 ppg while permitting 69.6 ppg to opponents. Josh White leads
the Mean Green with 15.0 ppg on 40.4 percent shooting from three-point range,
and he has dished out 111 assists. Tristan Thompson provides 14.2 ppg on 41
percent accuracy from behind the arc, and Eric Tramiel checks in with 12.7
ppg. Rounding out the foursome is George Odufuwa with 11.5 ppg and 10.5 rpg,
and he is a 61.4 percent shooter from the field. In last night's win over
Denver, North Texas earned a 20-8 edge in points from the foul line and a
36-27 advantage on the boards. The Mean Green played tremendous defense,
limiting the Pioneers to 38.9 percent shooting from the field.
Troy is generating 75.5 ppg this season while allowing 71.9 ppg to opponents.
Brandon Hazzard leads the Trojans with 16.6 ppg, and Richard Delk provides
12.5 ppg. Michael Vogler brings 11.8 ppg to the mix, and Yamene Coleman rounds
out the foursome of double-digit scorers with 10.1 ppg and 7.9 rpg. Vogler has
dished out 170 assists to go along with 57 steals, and all four players
mentioned have started every game this season. The same goes for Antywan Jones
(8.8 ppg), and it is rare to see a team make it this far into the season with
the exact same starting unit. Against Western Kentucky yesterday, Hazzard
scored 17 points to lead a shaky offensive effort in which Troy shot just 37.5
percent from the floor. Fortunately, the Trojans were able to limit the
Hilltoppers to 35.7 percent shooting.
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20,000th career point and will add to that mark tonight, when the Boston
Celtics hit the road to Milwaukee for a showdown with the Bucks.
On Sunday, Allen hit a go-
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road bout against the Indiana Pacers at Conseco Fieldhouse.
Philadelphia was able to snap
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fading like a flattop. Tonight they'll have to get past the Washington Wizards
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IUPUI and Oakland collide for Summit League title >>
Sioux Falls, SD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The IUPUI Jaguars and the Oakland Golden
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Tournament.
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The Bobcats
Bruins hope to bolster playoff chances vs. Maple Leafs >>
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2010 Big West Conference Tournament Preview >>
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Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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