Marlins call it Riding the D-Train
Baseball Betting Lines
05/01/2007 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - And did we tell you the name of the game, Florida?
We call it riding the D-Train.
Marlins starting pitcher Dontrelle Willis is certainly off to a heck of a
start, and this season could be a monster for the high-kicking lefty if he and
the team can pull it together.
Willis is 5-1 with a 5.35 earned run average through six starts this season,
and has ripped off back-to-back wins following his only loss to the New York Mets on April 18. Willis' train so to speak is in full motion as he is
tied with Boston Red Sox hurler Josh Beckett for the most wins in the
majors with five.
His teammates even seem to swing the bats better when Willis is on the hill
since the club has averaged 8.2 runs when he takes the mound. Willis can swing
the wood himself, and is hitting .273 with three hits this season.
But Willis makes his money on the mound and seems to win without his best
stuff on occasions. In his last start on April 28 against Philadelphia, Willis
got the win despite surrendering five runs -- four earned -- over 6 1/3
innings. Before that he earned a victory over Atlanta on April 23 after giving
up five runs in 6 2/3 frames. Luckily for Willis the Marlins scored 11 runs
and eight runs, respectively, in those games.
Florida is scheduled to send its ace to the hill again this Friday for a
showdown with future Hall of Fame pitcher Greg Maddux and the San Diego Padres. Willis can only hope his career lasts as long as Maddux's has, and
that one day he will be a member of the 300-win club.
Willis, who entered parenthood last week with the birth of his daughter, is
currently 63-40 in 133 career starts, while Maddux is 335-205 in 682 career
games (678 starts).
The jovial Willis has a long way to go in order to match Maddux.
RICKY DON'T LOSE THAT NUMBER
Florida Marlins starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco is expected to be activated off
the disabled list Monday for his start against the New York Mets on Tuesday.
Nolasco has been sidelined since April 7 because of elbow inflammation, and
the right-hander is 0-0 with a whopping 20.25 earned run average after one
start this season.
He took the hill on April 6 against Philadelphia, and was roughed up for three
runs and three hits in just 1 1/3 innings. But according to Marlins manager
Fredi Gonzalez, Nolasco will be prepared for the Mets.
"He's ready to go. He's healthy," Gonzalez said. "We'll see how much he can
give us."
Gonzalez anticipates Nolasco throwing no more than 70 pitches on Tuesday, and
will last either five or six innings pending on the outcome of the game.
Nolasco went 0-3 with a 19.73 ERA in four games (3 starts) against the Mets
last year.
WHO'S HOT
Marlins third baseman and early NL MVP candidate Miguel Cabrera is the leader
of the Florida offense. He is currently tops on the club in homers with seven
and RBI with 19 over 23 games this season.
The slugging Cabrera is batting .419 with 13 hits, five runs batted in and a
pair of home runs over his last seven games. He even broke up Philadelphia
pitcher Jamie Moyer's no-hit bid with a double in the seventh inning of
Sunday's loss at the Phillies.
WHO'S NOT
Florida catcher Miguel Olivo hasn't been so hot at the plate so far
this season. In 22 games he is batting .222 with one homer and 16 RBI.
Olivo is averaging .222 with six hits and seven runs batted in over the
previous seven games.
ON DECK
The Marlins are in the midst of a six-game road trip and have a pair of games
against the New York Mets remaining on the slate.
Florida, which is 2-2 so far on the swing, has won six of its last nine games
overall. After playing two more road games with the Mets, the Marlins will
return home for a seven-game stand with San Diego and Los Angeles.
Fredi Gonzalez' club is third in the NL East standings with a 12-13 record.
<< Bucs release CB Bolden
Tampa, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tampa Bay Buccaneers released veteran
cornerback Juran Bolden on Tuesday.
Over the last two seasons, Bolden has appeared in 32 games (13 starts) and has
registered 116 tackles, three interceptions and
<< Bartoli, Schiavone advance in Estoril
Estoril, Portugal (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top seeds Marion Bartoli and Francesca
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The French Bartoli blew past Portuguese wild card Neuza Silva 6-2, 6-1, whil
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named Offensive Player, ADT Defensive Player, and Ironman of the Week,
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Moscow, Russia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The United States rallied to tie the game
late, but a goal from Jaroslav Bednar with 1:08 to play lifted the Czech
Republic to a 4-3 win and first place in Group B at the 2007 World Ice Hockey
Champio
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Warsaw, Poland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two-time Grand Slam runner-up Elena
Dementieva highlighted Tuesday's first-round winners at the J&S Cup tennis
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Denver Broncos 2007 NFL Draft Review >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
1 - Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida (6-6, 251); 2 - Tim Crowder, DE, Texas (6-4,
271); 3 - Ryan Harris, T, Notre Dame (6-5, 299); 4 - Marcus Thomas, DT,
Florida (6-3, 296)
Analysis: The Broncos shocked no one by selecting Moss
Cubs starting to awake from early-season hibernation >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It hasn't been a particularly smooth first month of the
season for the Chicago Cubs, but at least there were a few encouraging moments
for Lou Piniella's beleaguered club during the final days of April.
The Cubs put togeth
Nationwide Tour shuffles '07 dates >>
Ponte Vedra Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Nationwide Tour announced two
changes to its 2007 schedule on Tuesday.
The Chattanooga Classic, originally scheduled for next week, has been moved to
October 15-21.
The PalmettoPride Class
Marlins reinstate Nolasco from DL >>
Flushing, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Florida Marlins reinstated starting
pitcher Ricky Nolasco from the 15-day disabled list on Tuesday, in time for
his scheduled start against the New York Mets.
Nolasco was placed on the DL on A
Rockies option Barmes to minors >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Rockies announced on Tuesday that
infielder Clint Barmes has been optioned to Triple-A Colorado Springs.
In 10 games this season, Barmes has just two hits in 20 at-bats with one walk
and six stri
While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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