2010 Big 12 Conference Tournament Preview
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/09/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Another year and another championship for
Kansas, which captured its sixth straight Big 12 regular-season crown with a
15-1 finish. The No.1 ranked Jayhawks are the top-seed for the sixth time in
the 14-year history of the Big 12 Tournament and they received a bye in the
first round. Also earning first-round byes are Kansas State, Baylor and Texas
A&M, as they all finished tied for second at 11-5. After the tie-breakers were
worked out, the Wildcats landed the second seed followed by the Bears and
Aggies.
The Missouri Tigers will begin their title defense in the first round, as they
placed fifth in the conference at 10-6. Texas and Oklahoma State tied for
sixth at 9-7, with the Longhorns grabbing the sixth seed and the Cowboys the
seventh. The bottom five teams all had losing records in the conference and
were seeded accordingly. The winner of this annual event moves on to the NCAA
Tournament with an automatic bid.
The 14th-annual Big 12 Tournament gets underway at the Sprint Center on
Wednesday, with the ninth-seeded Texas Tech Red Raiders clashing with the
eighth-seeded Colorado Buffaloes. This is a rematch of Saturday's regular-
season finale in which Colorado won a 101-90 shootout in Boulder. The Buffs
won their last three games of the regular campaign, while the Red Raiders have
dropped seven in a row heading into the postseason. Neither of these teams
have won this tourney, and Texas Tech has captured both prior meetings with
Colorado in the event.
The fifth-seeded Missouri Tigers defend their title against 12th-seeded
Nebraska in the second game of the first round. The Tigers, as the third seed,
won their first-ever Big 12 Tournament championship last season and went on to
the Elite Eight of the Big Dance. Missouri, which has posted back-to-back 10-
win campaigns in the Big 12 for the first time since 1999-00, is 15-12 all-
time in this event. This is the sixth time Missouri and Nebraska are meeting
in the Big 12 Tournament, with the Huskers winning the last two encounters.
The Huskers though, finished with a league-worst 2-14 mark and they are just
1-9 over their last 10 outings.
Bitter rivals come together in the third game, as the 10th-seeded Oklahoma Sooners tussle with the seventh-seeded Oklahoma State Cowboys. One year
removed from an outstanding campaign, the Sooners disappointed big time due to
injuries and inconsistency, finishing just 4-12 within the conference.
Oklahoma enters the postseason riding an eight-game losing streak and will
need to win this event in order to avoid its first losing campaign since 1981.
The Cowboys meanwhile, were the only Big 12 team to defeat Kansas, as they
knocked off the top-ranked Jayhawks, 85-77, on February 27th. Oklahoma State
features the Big 12 Player of the Year in James Anderson, who will try to
carry the program to its first title in this tourney since 2005.
First-round play wraps up with the sixth-seeded Texas Longhorns taking on the
11th-seeded Iowa State Cyclones. The Longhorns soared to No.1 in the nation at
one point this season, but fell on hard times down the stretch and finished
the regular campaign outside the Top 25. Still, Texas had enough to reach the
20-win plateau for the 11th straight season at 23-8 overall. The Longhorns are
17-13 all-time in this event and despite five championship game appearances,
they have never won the title. Iowa State meanwhile, is coming off another
poor showing with just a 4-12 mark within the conference. The Cyclones,
however, ended a 21-game losing streak to ranked opponents with a triumph of
Kansas State on Saturday. In 2000, Iowa State won this tourney, but it hasn't
had much luck since.
The top-ranked and top-seeded Kansas Jayhawks will make their tourney debut in
the quarterfinals on Thursday, as they await the winner of Texas Tech/Colorado
pairing. The Jayhawks are the face of the Big 12, having won or shared 10 of
the 14 regular-season titles while capturing this tourney on six occasions.
Kansas has won at least 11 games each season since in the inceptions of the
Big 12 in 1996-97 and they have notched 15 league victories on four occasions.
The Jayhawks, who are 29-2 overall, own a 25-7 record in this event, but had
their run of three-straight titles stopped last season.
Once the doormat of the Big 12, the fourth-seeded Texas A&M Aggies are now
consistent contenders for a top finish. The Aggies earned a first-round bye
for the third time in five years following a run in which they were never
seeded higher than seventh. Texas A&M though, has only three wins in this
event and that ranks last of any member. The Aggies, who have registered six
straight 20-win campaigns, will tussle with the winner of the
Nebraska/Missouri matchup.
The quarterfinal round continues with second-seeded Kansas State hooking up
with the survivor of the Oklahoma/Oklahoma State pairing. The No.2 seed is the
program's highest in the Big 12 Championship, as Kansas State earned a first-
round bye for the fourth straight season. The Wildcats 24 overall wins and 11
conference victories are their most since the 1987-88 campaign. The team,
though, is just 7-13 all-time in this event and has yet to even reach the
finals.
The third-seeded Baylor Bears had a terrific run in this tourney last season
and will collide with the victor of the Iowa State/Texas clash in the
quarterfinals. As the ninth seed last season, the Bears played the role of
giant-killer, advancing all the way to the finals before losing to Missouri.
Baylor took that experience and applied it to this season, capturing 11
conference wins for the first time in Big 12 history. With that came the
program's highest seed and first bye in this event.
<< Orioles renew contracts of Jones, Wieters
Sarasota, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Baltimore Orioles have renewed the
contracts of young stars Adam Jones, Matt Wieters, Brad Bergesen and Nolan
Reimold, while also agreeing to 2010 contracts with 22 other players.
Jones is en
<< 2010 Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament Preview
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 57th-annual Atlantic Coast Conference
Tournament is on tap this week from the Greensboro Coliseum and will run from
opening round action on Thursday, March 11th through the championship game on
Sunday, Ma
<< Nathan has significant ligament tear
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Minnesota Twins closer Joe Nathan
reportedly has a significant ligament tear in his right elbow.
The Minneapolis Star-Tribune said tests revealed damage to the ulnar
collateral ligament.
<< Kings cruise past listless Blue Jackets
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jonathan Quick needed to stop just 11 shots
for his third shutout of the season and Los Angeles scored four first-period
goals on its way to a 6-0 clobbering of Columbus.
Alexander Frolov had a goal and t
<< Wofford beats Appalachian State, earns first NCAA berth
Charlotte, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cameron Rundles had 20 points to help Wofford
capture the Southern Conference Tournament title with a 56-51 win over
Appalachian State.
The Terriers (26-8) captured their first title and gained the au
Blazers' Przybilla undergoes surgery >>
Portland, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Portland Trail Blazers center Joel Przybilla
underwent surgery late Monday to repair a ruptured right patella tendon.
It was the second such procedure for Przybilla, who first suffered the injury
on Decemb
2010 Conference USA Tournament Preview >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - For the first time in five years, someone
other than Memphis is the top seed in the Conference USA Tournament, as the
Texas-El Paso Miners won the regular-season title with a 15-1 finish. Winners
of 14 straig
Rockets take fading playoff push to Washington >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The chances of the Houston Rockets making the playoffs are
fading like a flattop. Tonight they'll have to get past the Washington Wizards
at the Verizon Center and hope for some help around the league.
Houston is 4 1/2 gam
Streaking Magic hope to make Clippers disappear >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The acquisition of Vince Carter has paid off so far for
Eastern Conference power Orlando, which will shoot for its sixth straight win
tonight versus the Los Angeles Clippers in the second test of a three-game
homestand at Amw
Sixers, Pacers clash in Indy >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia 76ers finally got off the schneid with a
big win at Toronto this weekend, and hope that carries over into Tuesday's
road bout against the Indiana Pacers at Conseco Fieldhouse.
Philadelphia was able to snap
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
To visit this internet sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your sports betting needs and World Series odds.
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
 The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
Additional basketball lines can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
read more
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